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198   Jan Tinbergen  $200 Unopened $200 0 You must login to place a bid.
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#198 - Jan Tinbergen

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Description                           Estimate: $300+          

Dutch economist (1903–1994) known for the development and application of dynamic models for the analysis of economic processes, who was awarded the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences in 1969. Handwritten manuscript, signed at the top, “J. Tinbergen,” eleven pages, 8.25 x 11.75, February 1979. Draft for an article entitled “Sectoral Composition of GNP and Educational Composition of the Labour Force in the Coming Thirty Years.” In part: “Forecasting is a very risky activity, in particular because of the political uncertainties and of the uncertainties in technological development. The generally known illustration of the latter is the impact the chips will have on the expansion of automation and the latter on the demand for new services as a consequence of their lower price after further automation.” Tinbergen goes on to discuss the GNP derived from manufacturing in different nations, as well as the roles of education, research, social services, and other government services. In fine condition. Pre-certified PSA/DNA.

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